Chen et al. developed a comprehensive solar resource assessment system based on the GIS + MCDM method in 2019. This system was applied to the assessment of the potential of PV power generation in the countries under the “Belt and Road” initiative. The results showed that the PV potential of China is 100.8 PWh.
Table 5. Summary of formulas used in this study. 3. Results 3.1. Theoretical PV power generation of China The theoretical PV power generation is jointly determined by the solar radiation and technical parameters. Fig. 2 shows the spatial distribution of the annual theoretical power generation of China in 2015. Fig. 2.
Fig. 2. Spatial distribution of annual theoretical power generation of China in 2015. The results of theoretical PV power generation show that the high-value areas are mainly concentrated in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, followed by Northwest China and Yunnan, where are rich in solar radiation resources.
According to statistics, the average LCOE of the ground PV stations in China is about 0.39 yuan/kWh by 2019, and it is expected that the LCOE of the PV power generation in China will be basically consistent with the average cost of coal-fired power generation by 2021 . In this case, the PV subsidies may be canceled.
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